Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 73.35%1.36fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -9.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.75%73.26%73.07%76.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3281.97%78.08%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV +5.27%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%26.74%26.93%29.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.493.503.9532.05%28.67%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 73.35%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 26.65%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -10.51%E -8.62%K -47.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +5.27%E +1.34%K +1.79%G +0.094%7.3%2026-02-21 18:09
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -9.05%E -7.30%K -37.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +2.61%E +0.677%K +0.915%G +0.024%6.6%2026-02-21 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.28%E +0.336%K +0.456%G +0.006%6.3%2026-02-21 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.057%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:50
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 04:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 04:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 04:15
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.65%E -3.57%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:08
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 10:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.18%E -2.41%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:45
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.18%E -2.41%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.18%E -2.41%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:45
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -16.85%E -5.40%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.