Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.774%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%46.73%46.95%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.991.992.1752.36%50.22%50.25%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 53.14%1.88fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.27%53.05%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8159.88%56.46%56.34%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 46.86%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 53.14%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.68%E +0.774%K +1.44%G +0.024%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.68%E +0.774%K +1.44%G +0.024%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:53
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:14
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:53
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.63%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -10.03%E -5.23%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:25
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -10.03%E -5.23%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -10.03%E -5.23%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 04:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 04:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%5.5%2026-04-11 20:35