Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.27%50.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.851.8757.47%54.31%54.05%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.73%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.872.0554.64%52.99%53.48%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 50.10%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 49.90%. For LSU Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -12.83%E -7.37%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.30%E +1.12%K +2.19%G +0.050%6.3%2026-04-10 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -11.32%E -6.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.20%E -0.605%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 05:04
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 05:29
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 05:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 10:20
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 13:33
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 13:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%5.0%2026-04-10 23:15