Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 55.93%1.79fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.68%55.99%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.681.671.7760.24%59.43%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 44.07%2.27fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.32%44.01%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.17%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 55.93%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 44.07%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.01%E -0.569%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.65%E -4.71%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.69%E -2.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:43
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.04%E -3.60%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.81%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:34
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.04%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.36%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.36%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.16%E -4.31%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.88%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.16%E -4.31%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.16%E -4.31%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.16%E -4.31%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-04-12 18:20