Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%55.78%55.93%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.691.7260.61%59.36%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.22%44.07%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.122.102.2249.50%47.27%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 55.90%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 44.10%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -10.91%E -5.40%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -10.91%E -5.40%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -10.91%E -5.40%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.38%E -3.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.38%E -3.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.27%E -3.97%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:08
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 18:04
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.38%E -3.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.09%E -3.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:02
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 13:34
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.38%E -3.52%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:44
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.09%E -0.942%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:55
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.59%E -4.68%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%5.1%2026-03-20 23:14