Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 55.51%1.80fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.24%55.85%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.681.7760.61%58.91%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%44.76%44.15%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.82%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 55.51%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 44.49%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.989%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.989%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.989%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:42
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.90%E -3.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:03
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.19%E -3.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.90%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:20
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.41%E -5.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.41%E -5.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.79%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:04
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.41%E -5.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.79%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:04
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.41%E -5.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.79%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:04
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.41%E -5.10%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-03-21 18:25