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Ole Miss Rebels v Austin Peay Governors

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 76.91%1.30fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -4.39%
Kelly -23.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%76.85%76.78%77.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.211.2384.03%82.30%82.30%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin Peay Governors (Visit)

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.08%23.15%23.22%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.044.004.2726.67%24.74%25.00%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 76.91%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 23.09%. For Austin Peay Governors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.27, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 09:49
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.46%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -10.42%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 18:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.17%E -5.05%K -28.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -1.42%E -0.332%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -1.42%E -0.332%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.88%E -0.443%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 16:55
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.04%E -0.723%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:24
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.94%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 05:34
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.47%E -7.12%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%5.3%2026-03-17 20:25