Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

17%

83%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd

EV +6.45%

Edge +1.04%

Kelly +1.24%

Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.18%16.87%17.17%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.425.506.2020.41%18.44%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 82.83%1.21fair odd

EV -4.74%

Edge -4.13%

Kelly -31.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.99%83.13%82.83%84.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.141.141.1590.09%87.80%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 17.17%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 82.83%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +6.45%E +1.04%K +1.24%G +0.080%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -8.06%E -7.26%K -73.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-03 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-03 17:25
888sport🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-03 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-03 17:25
Bovada🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-03 17:08
BetMGM🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.86%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-03 17:39
1xBet🎯	5.07I 19.72%NM 18.49%EV -12.95%E -2.56%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.51%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-03 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-03 17:53

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	5.99I 16.69%NM 14.31%	1.00I 100.00%NM 85.69%	16.7%	2026-04-03 18:20