Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v Richmond Spiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 54.95%1.82fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.69%54.73%55.11%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.711.7659.17%58.11%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Richmond Spiders (Visit)

Prediction 45.05%2.22fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.13%45.27%44.89%47.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.052.052.1451.02%48.82%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 54.95%; Richmond Spiders (Visit): 45.05%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.76, with an expected value of -3.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -3.28%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -11.71%E -5.97%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 17:05
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -3.28%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -11.71%E -5.97%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -3.28%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -11.71%E -5.97%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 17:10
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -4.38%E -2.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -8.55%E -4.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.20%E -3.50%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.50%E -2.12%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 16:43
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%5.1%2026-04-15 21:34