Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 63.94%1.56fair odd

EV -2.82%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -5.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.84%64.02%63.73%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.471.481.5269.93%67.91%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 36.06%2.77fair odd

EV -2.63%

Edge -0.973%

Kelly -1.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.62%35.98%36.27%37.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.572.622.602.7038.91%38.19%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 63.94%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 36.06%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -7.32%E -2.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-13 23:15
DraftKings🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-13 21:15
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-13 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-14 16:05
FanDuel🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-14 14:25
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-14 17:40
Bovada🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.63%E -0.973%K -1.55%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-13 22:38

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.