The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Old Dominion Monarchs v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 62.72%1.59fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.98%63.05%62.81%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.491.5468.97%66.93%67.11%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 37.28%2.68fair odd
EV +0.662%
Edge +0.245%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.95%37.19%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.532.502.7040.32%39.46%39.92%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 62.72%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 37.28%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.662%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.662%E +0.245%K +0.389%G +0.003%6.0%2026-05-15 18:05
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.80%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 04:08
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.42%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 04:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.54%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 14:44
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.54%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 14:44
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.54%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.