The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Old Dominion Monarchs v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 70.56%1.42fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.33%70.65%70.56%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.341.331.4076.34%74.71%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV +0.088%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.35%29.44%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.203.4033.33%31.65%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 70.56%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 29.44%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.397. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.088%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.56%E -5.77%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +0.088%E +0.026%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.45%E -4.06%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:50
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.74%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -1.21%E -0.866%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -11.10%E -3.67%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.