Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%40.00%40.20%41.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.352.352.5545.05%42.63%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.89%60.00%59.80%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.59%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 40.05%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 59.95%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +2.14%E +0.838%K +1.38%G +0.029%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -11.28%E -7.62%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 16:14
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.67%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:34
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.69%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 16:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.87%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.88%E -3.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 16:14
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:10
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:09
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -11.08%E -4.99%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.