Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 63.47%1.58fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%63.41%63.36%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.29%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 36.53%2.74fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.59%36.64%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.552.532.7041.15%39.27%39.53%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 63.47%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 36.53%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:45
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:35
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.20%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.57%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.57%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:35
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:49
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -9.76%E -3.95%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.97%E -5.50%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 20:00
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%6.5%2026-04-21 22:50