Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.25%50.00%52.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.75%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.62%49.75%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.871.9854.64%53.35%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 50.07%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 49.93%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 03:09
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 20:15
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 05:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:45
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.13%E -0.572%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%5.3%2026-05-02 22:30