Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 82.06%1.22fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -4.14%
Kelly -30.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.93%81.97%82.17%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.141.141.1688.50%87.84%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 17.94%5.58fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.03%17.83%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.255.5022.22%19.30%19.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 82.06%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 17.94%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.81%E -4.14%K -30.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 02:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:34
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 13:53
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -14.81%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 10:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:35
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:35
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -19.29%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.