Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 81.80%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 18.20%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.496. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.075%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.075%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.075%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.38%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 21:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.56%E -6.69%K -58.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -18.12%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.