Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 83.89%1.19fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -3.83%
Kelly -31.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.53%83.93%84.39%85.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.111.1490.91%89.90%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 16.11%6.21fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +0.487%
Kelly +0.577%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.78%16.07%15.61%18.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.806.006.4020.41%17.24%16.67%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 83.89%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 16.11%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.7%2026-03-01 18:49
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.72%E -7.02%K -77.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.72%E -7.02%K -77.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.72%E -7.02%K -77.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:39
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.72%E -7.02%K -77.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:39
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.05%E -5.40%K -50.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.37%E -3.83%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.37%E -3.83%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 17:29
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -6.88%E -6.20%K -62.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -21.05%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.