Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Dallas Baptist Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 63.16%1.58fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -10.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.27%62.87%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.501.5068.97%66.99%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 36.84%2.71fair odd
EV -0.522%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.73%37.13%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.532.512.7040.82%39.57%39.84%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 63.16%; Dallas Baptist Patriots (Visit): 36.84%. For Dallas Baptist Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.522%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.42%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.79%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.79%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 21:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:54
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 21:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -8.26%E -3.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 21:35
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.27%E -3.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 21:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -5.90%E -3.96%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.53%E -4.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.47%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.53%E -4.41%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.522%E -0.193%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%5.3%2026-03-10 22:35