Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 77.24%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 22.76%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.26, with an expected value of -2.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.68%E -2.13%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.46%E -2.76%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -12.59%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.46%E -2.76%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -12.59%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.46%E -2.76%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.77%E -4.26%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.23%E -3.41%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -5.98%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.77%E -4.73%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.54%E -5.41%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.54%E -5.41%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.32%E -6.10%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.32%E -6.10%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.32%E -6.10%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.32%E -6.10%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.32%E -6.10%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 21:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 66.14% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 33.86% | 41.3% | 2026-05-15 21:19 |