Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 79.03%1.27fair odd

EV -3.58%

Edge -2.94%

Kelly -16.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.63%79.14%78.95%80.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.96%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 20.97%4.77fair odd

EV +2.96%

Edge +0.602%

Kelly +0.756%

Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.24%20.86%21.05%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.504.504.9125.00%22.25%22.22%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 79.03%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 20.97%. For Arizona Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -7.53%E -6.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +2.96%E +0.602%K +0.756%G +0.022%	5.8%	2026-05-16 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -7.53%E -6.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +2.96%E +0.602%K +0.756%G +0.022%	5.8%	2026-05-16 15:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.11%E -7.93%K -60.76%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.649%E +0.135%K +0.171%G +0.001%	7.8%	2026-05-16 16:25
Caesars🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.399%E -0.084%K -0.107%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-16 15:25
BetUS🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.53%E -6.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.45%E -0.308%K -0.391%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-16 15:20
FanDuel🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.33%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.54%E -0.771%K -0.985%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-16 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.64%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-16 15:35
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.64%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-16 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.64%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-16 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.64%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-16 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.81%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.64%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-16 15:00
1xBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.45%EV -3.58%E -2.94%K -16.28%G +0.000%	4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV -6.90%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.46%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-16 15:20
betPARX🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.46%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-16 15:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.46%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-16 15:20
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.37%E -3.61%K -20.82%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.88%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-16 12:50
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.37%E -3.61%K -20.82%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.88%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-16 12:55
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.46%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.88%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-16 15:00
Bovada🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.58%E -2.94%K -16.28%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -16.13%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-16 13:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.