The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Oklahoma Sooners v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 89.22%1.12fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -30.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.10%89.21%89.46%90.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0997.09%94.83%95.24%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 10.78%9.28fair odd
EV +7.78%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.34%10.79%10.54%13.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.418.0010.0014.81%11.89%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 89.22%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 10.78%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.10%E -7.87%K -270.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +7.78%E +0.778%K +0.864%G +0.067%7.1%2026-03-11 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.39%E +0.251%K +0.281%G +0.007%4.9%2026-03-11 17:54
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -0.306%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 17:53
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:05
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 16:05
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.17%E -2.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 14:15
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -2.75%E -2.52%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -27.25%E -4.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 17:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 90.83%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.17%10.1%2026-03-11 19:50