Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 46.06%2.17fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%46.01%46.00%47.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.012.2052.36%49.36%49.75%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 53.94%1.85fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.33%53.99%54.00%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.741.7761.73%57.72%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 46.06%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 53.94%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.33%E +0.602%K +1.10%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.61%E -7.79%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:57
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.76%E -4.54%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.66%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.66%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 23:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 17:34
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.04%E -2.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.06%E -2.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 16:25
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -7.43%E -3.69%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.76%E -4.54%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 16:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:23
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.27%E -4.70%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.27%E -4.70%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.27%E -4.70%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:40
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.03%E -6.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%4.9%2026-03-13 23:15