Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd

EV -3.32%

Edge -1.66%

Kelly -3.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.09%48.75%48.52%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.47%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 51.66%1.94fair odd

EV +0.741%

Edge +0.380%

Kelly +0.780%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.00%51.25%51.48%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.831.801.9557.47%54.75%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 48.34%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 51.66%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.741%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.741%E +0.380%K +0.780%G +0.006%	6.8%	2026-03-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.741%E +0.380%K +0.780%G +0.006%	6.8%	2026-03-15 18:50
BetUS🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.741%E +0.380%K +0.780%G +0.006%	6.8%	2026-03-15 18:49
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.90%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-15 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.19%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.46%E -2.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-15 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.46%E -2.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-15 13:28
BetRivers🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.49%E -3.59%K -8.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 17:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.49%E -3.59%K -8.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 17:55
betPARX🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.49%E -3.59%K -8.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 17:55
DraftKings🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-15 15:35
BetMGM🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-15 17:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-15 17:40
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-15 15:34
1xBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-15 17:45
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 15:50
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.01%E -3.89%K -8.76%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 17:40
FanDuel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.32%E -1.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.04%E -4.52%K -10.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-15 17:59
Fliff🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.11%E -5.81%K -13.66%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-03-15 17:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%	5.2%	2026-03-15 18:40