Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.508%
Kelly +0.846%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.42%40.66%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.302.302.5045.87%43.54%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%59.58%59.34%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6664.94%62.96%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 40.51%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 59.49%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.27%E +0.508%K +0.846%G +0.011%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 18:03
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:32
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.02%E -2.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 23:18
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.02%E -2.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.02%E -2.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 18:10
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:20
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -8.45%E -3.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.24%E -0.749%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 23:15
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.69%E -5.36%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.69%E -5.36%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.69%E -5.36%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 31.75%1.00I 100.00%NM 68.25%46.5%2026-05-14 14:30