Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 61.49%1.63fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.53%61.56%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.531.5667.57%65.67%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 38.51%2.60fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.47%38.44%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.442.442.5142.02%40.96%40.98%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 61.49%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 38.51%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -3.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.42%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.42%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.42%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:54
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:44
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:29
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.49%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -8.38%E -5.63%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 23:54
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.00%E -6.08%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:39
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.00%E -6.08%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.00%E -6.08%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%4.2%2026-04-14 23:55