The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma Sooners v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 47.62%2.10fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.875%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.42%47.58%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.991.982.0852.36%50.25%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 52.38%1.91fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%52.58%52.42%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.781.8557.47%55.94%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 47.62%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 52.38%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -0.945%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.945%E -0.455%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.80%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.945%E -0.455%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.80%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.86%E -5.09%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.86%E -5.09%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:28
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.28%E -2.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 18:29
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 18:39
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 18:37
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.66%E -3.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 18:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:29
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:29
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.04%E -4.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-21 18:40
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-21 18:40