Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 73.14%1.37fair odd

EV -4.19%

Edge -3.20%

Kelly -13.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.59%73.29%73.07%75.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.281.291.3181.97%78.42%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd

EV +4.23%

Edge +1.09%

Kelly +1.47%

Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.06%26.71%26.93%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.563.503.8830.77%28.06%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 73.14%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 26.86%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -10.04%E -8.17%K -43.67%G +0.000%	3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV +4.23%E +1.09%K +1.47%G +0.062%	7.1%	2026-04-19 18:35
BetRivers🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.97%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV +3.43%E +0.890%K +1.20%G +0.041%	7.9%	2026-04-19 18:25
betPARX🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.97%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV +3.43%E +0.890%K +1.20%G +0.041%	7.9%	2026-04-19 18:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.97%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV +3.43%E +0.890%K +1.20%G +0.041%	7.9%	2026-04-19 18:25
BetMGM🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.29%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-19 12:40
FanDuel🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-19 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.12%E -5.60%K -26.36%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-19 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-19 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-19 15:10
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.52%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-19 15:09
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 02:04
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 05:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-19 18:25
Bovada🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.81%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-19 05:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-19 18:25
BetUS🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-19 16:15
Betway🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.50%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-19 18:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.45%	3.68I 27.17%NM 26.55%	2.4%	2026-04-19 18:25