Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 79.00%1.27fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -2.96%

Kelly -16.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.21%79.20%78.76%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.151.191.201.2286.96%84.11%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd

EV +4.98%

Edge +0.996%

Kelly +1.25%

Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.83%20.80%21.24%22.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.104.504.505.0024.39%22.23%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 79.00%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 21.00%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.22%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +4.98%E +0.996%K +1.25%G +0.062%	6.2%	2026-04-17 20:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.15%E -7.95%K -60.97%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.782%E +0.163%K +0.206%G +0.002%	7.8%	2026-04-17 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.64%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.268%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-17 16:59
BetRivers🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.22%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -1.32%E -0.280%K -0.356%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-17 18:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.22%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -1.32%E -0.280%K -0.356%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-17 18:10
betPARX🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.22%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -1.32%E -0.280%K -0.356%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-17 18:10
1xBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.33%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.64%G +0.000%	4.53I 22.08%NM 20.67%EV -4.89%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 21:00
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-17 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-17 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-17 08:09
Caesars🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.43%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.62%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-17 08:07
BetMGM🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.62%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-17 12:34
Bovada🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.50%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.62%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%	4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -10.35%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-17 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%	4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -10.35%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-17 14:19
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.77%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-17 03:57
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.82%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-17 17:14
BetUS🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.92%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%	4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%	5.5%	2026-04-17 21:09