Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd

EV +3.34%

Edge +1.39%

Kelly +2.39%

Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%43.06%43.06%44.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.192.102.4047.62%45.70%47.62%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd

EV -5.48%

Edge -3.30%

Kelly -8.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.85%56.94%56.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.631.661.6664.10%61.27%60.24%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 43.06%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 56.94%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetUS🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +3.34%E +1.39%K +2.39%G +0.080%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -11.17%E -7.16%K -19.95%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 00:59
DraftKings🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.55%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-20 00:59
BetRivers🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-20 00:59
Bally Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-20 00:59
betPARX🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-20 00:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.