Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.12
assuming max odds 7.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 86.28%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 13.72%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.01%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -7.68%E -7.18%K -109.70%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +7.01%E +0.898%K +1.03%G +0.072% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.97%E -0.567%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.97%E -0.567%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.97%E -0.567%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.97%E -0.567%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.68%E -7.18%K -109.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.97%E -0.567%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 18:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.37%E -3.00%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.94%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -27.98%E -5.33%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.