The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oklahoma Sooners v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 81.92%1.22fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -24.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.93%81.90%81.73%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.141.1789.29%87.19%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 18.08%5.53fair odd
EV -0.559%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.124%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%18.10%18.27%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.105.105.5022.22%19.61%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 81.92%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 18.08%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.559%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.15%E -3.55%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.15%E -3.55%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.15%E -3.55%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.97%E -4.29%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.79%E -5.04%K -38.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.08%E -0.968%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:34
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.559%E -0.102%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.559%E -0.102%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:14
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.79%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.79%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 15:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.79%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 15:40
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.61%E -5.80%K -47.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:29
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.43%E -6.58%K -57.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -18.64%E -4.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.25%E -7.37%K -68.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.559%E -0.102%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.