Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 82.52%1.21fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -26.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.92%82.59%82.69%83.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.141.1690.09%88.35%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 17.48%5.72fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.06%17.41%17.31%19.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.415.455.8021.05%18.49%18.37%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 82.52%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 17.48%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.40%E -7.57%K -76.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +1.36%E +0.235%K +0.284%G +0.004%7.3%2026-02-27 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.40%E -7.57%K -76.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +1.36%E +0.235%K +0.284%G +0.004%7.3%2026-02-27 18:05
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.40%E -7.57%K -76.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +1.36%E +0.235%K +0.284%G +0.004%7.3%2026-02-27 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.40%E -7.57%K -76.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +0.489%E +0.085%K +0.103%G +0.001%7.5%2026-02-27 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.88%E -0.705%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 15:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.88%E -0.705%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.88%E -0.705%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.88%E -0.705%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -5.80%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -5.80%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 17:10
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -6.50%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 17:08
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.92%E -5.20%K -42.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.38%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:38
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.10%E -4.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.12%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.27%E -3.68%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.62%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.57%E -6.76%K -63.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.62%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 16:39
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.92%EV -7.57%E -6.76%K -63.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -16.99%E -3.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.