Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV -0.828%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.663%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%44.28%44.01%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2550.00%47.36%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 55.92%1.79fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.72%55.99%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.671.7762.11%59.39%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 44.08%; Florida Gators (Visit): 55.92%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.828%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.828%E -0.368%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.96%E -6.19%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.80%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 14:20
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 17:33
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -6.12%E -2.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:24
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:24
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:24
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 23:04
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -8.76%E -4.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.85%E -5.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.02%E -0.573%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.85%E -5.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.02%E -0.573%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:24
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.85%E -5.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.02%E -0.573%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%4.2%2026-05-01 23:25