Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Dallas Baptist Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.56%61.61%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.531.5666.67%65.74%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 38.35%2.61fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.44%38.39%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.452.452.5041.67%40.89%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 61.65%; Dallas Baptist Patriots (Visit): 38.35%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.46%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 07:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:30
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:44
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.57%E -3.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.11%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 20:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.