Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 58.36%1.71fair odd

EV -3.71%

Edge -2.25%

Kelly -5.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%58.72%58.28%61.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.591.611.6564.94%62.80%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 41.64%2.40fair odd

EV +1.19%

Edge +0.489%

Kelly +0.831%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.79%41.28%41.72%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.162.272.202.4346.30%44.00%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 58.36%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 41.64%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.75%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +1.19%E +0.489%K +0.831%G +0.010%	6.1%	2026-02-25 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.75%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +1.19%E +0.489%K +0.831%G +0.010%	6.1%	2026-02-25 21:45
BetUS🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.75%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +1.19%E +0.489%K +0.831%G +0.010%	6.1%	2026-02-25 21:45
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.96%E -5.74%K -16.00%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.061%E -0.025%K -0.044%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-25 21:49
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.75%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.061%E -0.025%K -0.044%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-25 21:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-25 17:05
BetMGM🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-25 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 16:10
FanDuel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.71%E -2.25%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-25 19:00
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 19:00
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 16:09
betPARX🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.82%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 21:24
BetRivers🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.82%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 21:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.82%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 21:24
1xBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -7.79%E -4.93%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%EV -10.05%E -4.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-02-25 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.