The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oklahoma Sooners v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -6.50%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -7.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.17%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.851.851.8754.64%53.94%54.05%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.83%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.871.9154.64%53.43%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 50.00%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 50.00%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -4.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:44
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 01:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:29
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 04:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 17:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 17:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 04:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 04:43
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 04:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:14
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:14
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%5.0%2026-04-04 18:49