Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v Wright St Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 58.42%1.71fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.65%58.55%58.41%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.621.6664.10%62.26%61.92%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wright St Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 41.58%2.40fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%41.45%41.59%42.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.252.3245.45%44.14%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 58.42%; Wright St Raiders (Visit): 41.58%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -3.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.02%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 21:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 13:33
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:05
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 13:58
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.85%E -3.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.85%E -3.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.85%E -3.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 17:30
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 03:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.12%E -4.48%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -3.53%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.87%E -5.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 19:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.87%E -5.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.87%E -5.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%3.8%2026-05-12 21:15