Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 11.99%8.34fair odd
EV +6.03%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 8.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.71%11.99%11.85%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.367.718.008.8422.94%12.97%12.50%11.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 88.01%1.14fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +13.04%
Growth +0.272%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.99%88.01%88.15%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.071.1695.24%92.98%93.46%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 11.99%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 88.01%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.01%EV -47.70%E -10.94%K -14.20%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.99%EV +2.09%E +1.80%K +13.04%G +0.272%9.1%2026-03-07 19:49
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.04%E -0.505%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.95%E -4.59%K -61.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 15:29
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.04%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.95%E -4.59%K -61.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.04%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.95%E -4.59%K -61.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:28
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.04%E -0.505%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.83%E -5.45%K -83.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.04%E -2.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.83%E -5.45%K -83.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯8.84I 11.31%NM 10.71%EV +6.03%E +0.682%K +0.769%G +0.046%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.29%EV -6.71%E -6.33%K -111.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
BetOnline.ag🎯8.84I 11.31%NM 10.71%EV +6.03%E +0.682%K +0.769%G +0.046%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.29%EV -6.71%E -6.33%K -111.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
BetUS🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -0.444%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.71%E -6.33%K -111.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:14
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.04%E -0.505%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.71%E -6.33%K -111.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +1.95%E +0.230%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.59%E -7.23%K -151.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig8.85I 11.30%NM 10.79%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.21%4.8%2026-03-07 22:49