Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

15%

85%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 15.10%6.62fair odd

EV +20.82%

Edge +2.60%

Kelly +2.97%

Growth +0.619%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.70%15.21%15.14%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.006.376.168.0020.00%15.71%16.23%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 84.90%1.18fair odd

EV -4.92%

Edge -4.39%

Kelly -40.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.70%84.79%84.86%88.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.91%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 15.10%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 84.90%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.62. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +20.82%E +2.60%K +2.97%G +0.619%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -10.01%E -9.44%K -166.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-06 16:04
DraftKings🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +13.27%E +1.77%K +2.04%G +0.271%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -7.46%E -6.85%K -82.91%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 16:00
888sport🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.953%G +0.055%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.31%E -7.70%K -103.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-06 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.953%G +0.055%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.31%E -7.70%K -103.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-06 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.953%G +0.055%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.31%E -7.70%K -103.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-06 20:55
BetMGM🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-05 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.34%E -0.522%K -0.619%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-06 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 20:55
1xBet🎯	6.12I 16.34%NM 15.24%EV -7.57%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.76%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-06 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯	6.03I 16.58%NM 15.66%EV -8.93%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.34%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-06 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	6.03I 16.58%NM 15.66%EV -8.93%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.34%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-06 15:15
BetRivers🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-06 19:40
Bally Bet🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-06 19:40
betPARX🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-06 19:40
BetUS🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.40%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-06 15:25
theScore Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-06 21:00
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -24.49%E -4.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-06 21:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	7.52I 13.30%NM 12.66%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.34%	5.0%	2026-03-06 20:20