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Ohio State Buckeyes v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)
assuming max odds 1.33
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 72.34%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 27.66%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.970%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.970%E +0.266%K +0.366%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 16:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -10.92%E -3.39%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -10.92%E -3.39%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -13.69%E -4.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87% | 2.8% | 2026-04-10 16:25 |