Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v Nebraska Cornhuskers

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV +0.367%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.02%26.93%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.62%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 72.87%1.37fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -14.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%72.98%73.07%74.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.93%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 27.13%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 72.87%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.367%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +0.367%E +0.099%K +0.136%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -9.64%E -7.77%K -40.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:30
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +0.367%E +0.099%K +0.136%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -9.64%E -7.77%K -40.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:30
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +0.367%E +0.099%K +0.136%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -9.64%E -7.77%K -40.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.35%E -0.651%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 12:45
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.35%E -0.651%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.45%E -5.87%K -27.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 22:52
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -2.62%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.18%E -6.49%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.54%E -3.46%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:24
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 03:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 19:45
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.26%E -4.05%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 22:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.26%E -4.05%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 22:40
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:33
MyBookie.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.94%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.26%E -4.05%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 22:45
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.99%E -4.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -4.54%E -3.46%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%5.5%2026-05-02 22:40