Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.63
assuming max odds 1.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 23.72%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 76.28%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.81%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.17%EV +9.81%E +2.12%K +2.70%G +0.265% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -10.75%E -9.19%K -63.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 21:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +4.36%E +0.990%K +1.28%G +0.056% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.36%E +0.990%K +1.28%G +0.056% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.36%E +0.990%K +1.28%G +0.056% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.388%E -0.092%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.70%E -6.36%K -36.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.65%E -3.72%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 21:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.17%E -5.02%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.65%E -3.72%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -16.99%E -4.85%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -16.99%E -4.85%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -16.99%E -4.85%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 21:29 |