Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd

EV +0.388%

Edge +0.185%

Kelly +0.353%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.88%47.68%48.06%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.861.961.952.1053.76%51.02%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 52.20%1.92fair odd

EV -1.87%

Edge -0.995%

Kelly -2.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.73%52.32%51.94%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.791.791.8858.48%55.75%55.87%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 47.80%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 52.20%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.388%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.388%E +0.185%K +0.353%G +0.001%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.74%E -6.28%K -15.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-03 21:50
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-03 21:49
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-03 21:52
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.14%E -4.62%K -10.70%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-03 20:25
FanDuel🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-03 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-03 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-03 21:00
BetUS🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-03 21:00
BetRivers🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-04-03 21:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-04-03 21:50
betPARX🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-04-03 21:50
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-03 15:40
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -11.08%E -5.96%K -12.89%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -1.87%E -0.995%K -2.13%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-03 20:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%	5.3%	2026-04-03 21:54