The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ohio State Buckeyes v Marshall Thundering Herd

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 60.94%1.64fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%60.98%60.61%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5766.67%65.01%64.72%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%39.02%39.39%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.412.402.5042.92%41.55%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 60.94%; Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit): 39.06%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 03:10
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 17:35
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:31
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.00%E -3.86%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 20:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 20:34
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 17:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%5.2%2026-04-15 21:39