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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Stanford Cardinal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)
assuming max odds 1.50
Stanford Cardinal (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 66.29%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 33.71%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.565%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.565%E -0.377%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 20:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -0.565%E -0.377%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -14.71%E -5.82%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 20:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -0.565%E -0.377%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -14.71%E -5.82%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.565%E -0.377%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.87%E -4.13%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.87%E -4.13%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.87%E -4.13%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.53%E -4.63%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.53%E -4.63%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.29%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -6.53%E -4.63%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.96%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.24%E -0.773%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.24%E -0.773%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.24%E -0.773%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 20:25 |