The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 73.98%1.35fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -15.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.96%74.05%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.271.271.2981.30%78.78%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%26.04%25.95%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.513.9030.77%27.81%28.49%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 73.98%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 26.02%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.46%E +0.375%K +0.505%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-08 13:39
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.00%E -7.32%K -39.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.00%E -7.32%K -39.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:55
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.00%E -7.32%K -39.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -4.56%E -3.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -8.68%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -4.56%E -3.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -8.68%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.56%E -3.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 01:00
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 01:36
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:10
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.56%E -3.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:45
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.56%E -3.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.