The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 20.03%4.99fair odd
EV +6.16%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.70%20.27%20.28%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.944.654.605.3025.38%21.49%21.74%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 79.97%1.25fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -11.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.80%79.73%79.72%82.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2287.72%85.23%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 20.03%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 79.97%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +6.16%E +1.16%K +1.43%G +0.088%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.84%E -7.75%K -63.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:48
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.155%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.155%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.155%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.155%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.24%E -6.24%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:45
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.85%E -0.377%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.85%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.64%E -4.78%K -31.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:49
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.86%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:50
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.86%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.64%E -4.78%K -31.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:35
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.86%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:50
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.86%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:30
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.86%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:30
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.86%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -17.87%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.44%E -2.00%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 02:15
1xBet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.20%EV -21.08%E -5.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.80%EV -4.84%E -4.06%K -25.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.