The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%44.98%44.94%46.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.092.1550.00%48.30%47.85%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.46%55.02%55.06%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7559.88%58.50%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 44.92%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 55.08%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -3.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.88%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:04
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:42
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.13%E -2.93%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.13%E -2.93%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:24
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:34
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:35
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:34
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -9.72%E -4.84%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-21 17:54