The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Northwestern Wildcats v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.57%39.43%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.392.4643.48%41.95%41.84%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.43%60.57%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.561.6165.36%64.39%64.31%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 39.44%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 60.56%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -2.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 23:59
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:45
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.74%E -4.38%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.74%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.74%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.74%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 17:50
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.92%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:59
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.